PSAM 4 Preliminary Program: Tuesday (9/15)

Preliminary Program: Tuesday (9/15)

Last updated: 8/21/98 3:16:57 PM

	Invited Lecture
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday September 15, 8:00-9:00 AM (Ballroom D&E)
TITLE:	Space Mission Risk
Speaker	William F. Readdy , NASA Astronaut, Deputy Associate Administrator (Space Shuttle), Office of Space Flight

SESSION NUMBER:	2.1.1
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 9:00AM - 10:30AM (Alvin)
TITLE:	Risk Management in Space and Transportation
CHAIR:	C. Preyssl, ESA-ESTEC, The Netherlands M. Ferrante, Alenia Aerospazio, Italy
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Ferrante	Risk Management: A Space Industry Approach M. Ferrante, M. Baradello, A. Altavilla
Preyssl	Integrated Risk Management at the European Space Agency C. Preyssl, R. Atkins
Maier	Decision Making Despite Uncertainties and Diverging Opinions Kirsten Bischoff, Hans-Dieter Maier, Christian Preyssl
Katsumata	A Simplified Decision Analysis to Prioritize Transit System Improvement Alternatives Peter T. Katsumata, Vincent Ho

SESSION NUMBER:	2.1.2
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 9:00AM - 10:30AM (Broadway)
TITLE:	PSA Standards and Certification
CHAIR:	M. Drouin, US NRC, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Drouin	Perspectives on PRA Standards Mary Drouin, Donnie Whitehead, Allen Camp, John Lehner, Trevor Pratt, Jeffrey LaChance, Dennis Bley, Gareth Parry
Sloane	Implementing a PWR Peer Review Certification Process for Ensuring PSA Quality Barry Sloane, Ken Kiper
Kaufer	Review Procedures and Criteria for Different Regulatory Applications of PSA Barry Kaufer, Mark A. Caruso

SESSION NUMBER:	2.1.3
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 9:00AM - 10:30AM (Carnegie)
TITLE:	Fire Risk Analysis - Methodology and Applications 1
CHAIR:	V. Ho, Booz-Allen & Hamilton, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Morales	Use of Deterministic and Probabilistic Techniques for Decision Making Process (Technical Specifications Improvements, Fire Protection, MOV's Test Intervals Optimization) Lola Morales
Bertrand	Results and Insights of the Fire PSA on the French 900 MWe Nuclear Power Plants Gilles Barrachin, Rémy Bertrand, François Bonneval, François Ducamp, Jocelyne Lacoue, Myriam Chaussard, Jérôme L'Henoret, Jean Marie Mattéi
	Discussion

SESSION NUMBER:	2.1.4
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 9:00AM - 10:30AM (Juilliard)
TITLE:	Disaster Consequences
CHAIR:	T. Pratt, BNL, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Gheorghe	Source Term Estimation Based on Plant Status Adrian V. Gheorghe, Dan V. Vamanu
Christman	Special Consequence Analysis Conditions for a Chemical Weapons Disposal Facility L.B. Robbins, R.W. Tuli, D.R. Christman
Pyatt	Results of an Independent Risk Assessment For the Cassini Mission David Pyatt, Lt. Col. Marcia Thornton, John Lyver, Captain G. Jerry Martin, Charles Bartlett, Col. J.C. Mann, John Randall
Brown	Health Risk from Earthquake Caused Releases of UF6 at the Paducah Gaseous Diffusion Plant Neil W. Brown, Stephen Lu, J.C. Chen, Ryan Roehnelt, Douglas Lombardi

SESSION NUMBER:	2.1.5
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 9:00AM - 10:30AM (Uris)
TITLE:	Human Factors and Human Reliability 1
CHAIR:	K. Furuta, U. of Tokyo, Japan
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Halbert	Linking Human Performance with System Reliability: Beyond First Generation HRA Techniques Bruce P. Hallbert, David I. Gertman, Harold S. Blackman, Donald L. Schurman, Catherine Thompson, Ann Ramey-Smith
Vivalda	A Support System to Develop Procedures for Shipboard Operations and Emergency Situations Alessandro Sartor, Claudia Vivalda, Andrea Carpignano
Cacciabue	Human Factors Methods for Safety Assessment in Highly Automated Environments: Task Analysis, Modeling & Data P.C. Cacciabue, E. Hollnagel
Houghton	The Use of Hazards Analysis in the Development of Training F. Kay Houghton

SESSION NUMBER:	2.1.6
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 9:00AM - 10:30AM (Shubert)
TITLE:	Environmental and Ecological Risk
CHAIR:	W. Kastenberg, U. of California, Berkeley, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Okrent	The Use of Population Dynamics to Estimate the Effects of Toxic Releases in Ecological Risk Assessment Jan Swider, David Okrent
Bley	Human-Centered Risk Assessment: An Environmental Strategy for FSU, Eastern Europe, and Middle Asian Countries Vitaly Eremenko, Dennis C. Bley, James Droppo, Jr.
Chu	Setting an Environmental Agenda: Scientific Foundation for Comparative Risk Analysis Margaret M.L. Chu
Dorsey	About Risk, Synergy and Complexity Ely Dorsey

SESSION NUMBER:	2.1.7
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 9:00AM - 10:30AM (Regency)
TITLE:	PANEL - Safety of Eastern European Reactors: Role of PSA in the Safety Upgrading Process
CHAIR:	M. Khatib-Rahbar, Energy Research, USA S. Chakraborty, Swiss Federal Nuclear Safety Inspectorate, Switzerland
	Panelists:
	B. Nigmatulin, Deputy Minister, Ministry of Atomic Energy, Russia.
	M. Lipár, Chairman, Nuclear Regulatory Authority of Slovak Republic.
	S. Nellen, Minister Counselor, Federal Department of Foreign Affairs, Switzerland.
	A. Thadani, Head, Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research, US Nuclear Regulatory Commission.
	C. Kessler, U.S. State Department.

SESSION NUMBER:	2.1.8
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 9:00AM - 10:30AM (Majestic)
TITLE:	Software for Risk-Informed Decision Making
CHAIR:	R. Mulvihill, ASCA, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Wilson	REVELATION: A PSA Results Interpretation Tool Doug True, Duane Wilson
Rutledge	Quantitative Risk Assessment System (QRAS) Peter J. Rutledge, Robert M. Weinstock
Ferrata	An Automated Method for Identifying Hazards C. Doug Ferrata, Gerald J. Langwell
Grimes	Development of a Graphical PC-Based Full-Scope Risk Management Workstation P.R. Grimes, M.D. Brandyberry, J.J. Claret, G.J. Boyd

SESSION NUMBER:	2.2.1
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 10:45AM - 12:15PM (Alvin)
TITLE:	Space Missions Risk Assessment
CHAIR:	R. Navarro, NASA Ames Research Center, USA A. Flippen, NASA Ames Research Center, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Bingzhang	A Probabilistic Approach to Safety of the Manned Rocket-Ship System Liu Bingzhang
Smart	Space Shuttle Main Engine Quantitative Risk Assessment: Illustrating Modeling of a Complex System with a New QRA Software Package Christian Smart
Roos	EuroMoon 2000, Technical Risk Assessment Ariane L. Roos, Wubbo J. Ockels
Baker	Radioisotope Thermoelectric Generator Survivability for Earth Reentries Richard L. Baker, Duane A. Nelson

SESSION NUMBER:	2.2.2
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 10:45AM - 12:15PM (Broadway)
TITLE:	PSA Quality and Completeness
CHAIR:	J. Murphy, US NRC, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Spitzer	PSA Reviews: Experiences and Insights from Methodological Points of View Cornelia Spitzer
Christou	How Lessons Learned from Benchmark Exercises Can Improve the Quality of Risk Studies Michalis Christou, Aniello Amendola
Marshall	A Document Structure that Facilitates Risk Analysis Richard M. Marshall, Jean Chevallier
Picard	Comparing PRAs with Operating Experience Harry F. Martz, Richard R. Picard

SESSION NUMBER:	2.2.3
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 10:45AM - 12:15PM (Carnegie)
TITLE:	Fire Risk Analysis - Methodology and Applications 2
CHAIR:	L. Morales, Central Nuclear Almaraz, NPP, Spain
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Siu	Warts and Bumps in Fire PRA: A Caution N. Siu
Mattéi	Hybrid Monte-Carlo Simulation Using Petri Nets and Fire Code for Analysing Fire Scenarios in Nuclear Power Plants Jean-Marie Mattéi, Jean Luc Chabot, François Ducamp, Jean Pierre Signoret, Pierre Joulain, Tony Hutinet
Argirov	Fire Vulnerability of the Large Oil Transformers with Respect to NPP Safe Operation and Shutdown Considerations Julian Argirov, Dimiter Dimitrov, Pavlin Groudev, William Shier
Virolainen	OECD/NEA Project on Fire Risk Analysis - CSNI/PWG5 Task 97-3 "Fire Risk Analysis, Fire Simulation, Fire Spreading, and Impact of Smoke and Heat on Instrumentation Electronics" B. Kaufer, R. Virolainen

SESSION NUMBER:	2.2.4
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 10:45AM - 12:15PM (Juilliard)
TITLE:	Performance Assessment and Safety Assessment for Radioactive Waste
CHAIR:	N. Eisenberg, US NRC, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Gallego	The Use of MayDay in the ENRESA Performance Assessment Activities. Acquired Experience and Improvements R. Bolado, J. Alonso, P. Carboneras, J.A. Moya, A. Alonso
Anderson	The 1996 Performance Assessment for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant D.R. Anderson, J.C. Helton, H.-N. Jow, M.G. Marietta, M.S.Y. Chu, L. E. Shephard, G. Basabilvazo
Ferjenèík	Central Spent Nuclear Fuel Storage Facility: Comparison of Risk of Design Alternatives Miloš Ferjenèík

SESSION NUMBER:	2.2.5
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 10:45AM - 12:15PM (Uris)
TITLE:	Human Factors and Human Reliability 2
CHAIR:	J. Forester, SNL, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Gertman	Human Reliability Analysis Techniques Application to Occupational Risk: Perspective for Risk Management Program David I. Gertman, L.ee T. Ostrom, R. Scott Hartley
Furuta	Design Process Representation Language as a Basis for Supporting Knowledge Transfer K. Furuta, A. Kude, Y. Matsuoka
Mulvihill	The Use of the Dynamic Flowgraph Methodology For Screening Human Performance and Team Related Accident Initiating Events R.J. Mulvihill, A. Milici, S. Guarro
Bley	Things Not Modeled in Nuclear Plant PSA Dennis C. Bley, John Wreathall, Susan B. Cooper

SESSION NUMBER:	2.2.6
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 10:45AM - 12:15PM (Shubert)
TITLE:	Risk Consequences due to Release of Materials
CHAIR:	K. O'Kula, Westinghouse Safety Management Solutions, I, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Nelson	Assessing Consequences of Plutonium Releases from Potential Spacecraft Accidents Marvin Goldman, Lynn R. Anspaugh, Mark D. Hoover, Bruce Napier, Robert Nelson, William L. Templeton, Anthony C. James, Tommy F. McCraw
McCulloch	A Nuclear Source Term Analysis for Spacecraft Power Systems William H. McCulloch
O'Kula	Evaluating Postulated Tritium Releases on a Large DOE Site Using the UFOTRI Probabilistic Consequence Model (U) Kevin R. O'Kula, Charles E. Murphy, Jr., Jackie M. East
Ha	An Approach to the Consequence Analysis of Reentry Accidents and its Application to the Cassini Mission Chuong T. Ha, Nelson A. Deane

SESSION NUMBER:	2.2.7
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 10:45AM - 12:15PM (Regency)
TITLE:	Trends and Insights from Accident Sequence Precursors
CHAIR:	E.R. Schmidt, Scientech, USA M. Sattison, INEEL, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Muhlheim	A Qualitative Review of the Accident Sequence Precursor Program M.D. Muhlheim, R.J. Belles
Watanabe	Trends in Initiating Events and Unavailable Systems for Precursor Events Norio Watanabe
Riekert	Results and Insights from Precursor Analyses in Germany T. Riekert, S. Babst, G. Gaenssmantel
Hulsmans	Using State-of-the-Art PSA to Support Operational Event Analysis in NPPs: Methodology, Experience and Insights M. Hulsmans, P. Boneham, P. De Gelder

SESSION NUMBER:	2.2.8
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 10:45AM - 12:15PM (Majestic)
TITLE:	Risk Perception and Communication
CHAIR:	D. Okrent, UCLA, USA L. Sjoberg, Stockholm School of Economics, Sweden
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Van Malder	Risk Assessment and Risk Communication: An Attempt to Reconcile Mathematics and Common Sense Georges Van Malder
Andersson	Requirements for Transparent Risk Assessment - The RISCOM Pilot Study Kjell Andersson, Clas-Otto Wene
Kadak	The Societal Fairness of Intergenerational Equity Andrew C. Kadak
Barnett	Risk Perceptions and Their Influence on Safety-Related Investments in a Large Railroad Amedeo R. Odoni, Arnold I. Barnett, Joseph M. Sussman

SESSION NUMBER:	2.3.1
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 1:30PM - 3:00PM (Alvin)
TITLE:	Software for Nuclear Plant PSA
CHAIR:	P. Rutledge, NASA, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Rauzy	Comparison Between Two Tools (ARALIA and ESCAF) Applied to the Study of the Emergency Shutdown System of a Nuclear Reactor Introduction to P-Cuts Y. Dutuit, S. Combacon, A. Laviron, A. Rauzy
Evrard	KANT: A Probabilistic Software for Level 2 PSAs J.M. Evrard, J.P. Mireau, P. Lardjane, B. Lucas
Richards, Jr.	Integration and Use of the Risk Assessment Calculator (RAsCal) at South Texas Project Andrew M. Richards, Jr.

SESSION NUMBER:	2.3.2
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 1:30PM - 3:00PM (Broadway)
TITLE:	Failure Rate Analysis and Prediction
CHAIR:	H.F. Martz, LANL, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Moore	Failure Rate Analysis Using GLIMMIX Leslie M. Moore, Geralyn M. Hemphill, Harry F. Martz
Cooper	Improving Analytical Understanding Through the Addition of Information: Bayesian and Hybrid Mathematics Approaches J. Arlin Cooper, Kathleen V. Diegert
Massé	Failure Rate Prediction Using Field Experience and Design Practices Christoph Kretzschmar, Jean-Remi Massé, Michel Rolin, Alain Texier, Alain Néchet, Jean-Claude Chollet, Claude Vallée, Vincent Roubault
Krivtsov	A Monte Carlo Approach to Repairable System Reliability Analysis Vasiliy Krivtsov, Mark Kaminskiy

SESSION NUMBER:	2.3.3
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 1:30PM - 3:00PM (Carnegie)
TITLE:	Uncertainty Analysis - Techniques and Applications 2
CHAIR:	E. Hofer, GRS, Germany
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Lowenthal	Of Unknowns and Uncertainty Micah D. Lowenthal, Susan D. Pelmulder, Gene I. Rochlin
Kraan	Uncertainty Analysis on Early Health Effects Modeling in Accident Consequence Codes B. Kraan, R. Cooke, L. Goossens
Luck	Estimation of Upper Bound Probabilities for Rare Events Resulting from Nearby Explosions Larry B. Luck
Han	Importance Analysis of Radiological Consequence Assessment Model Considering the Environmental Condition of Korea M.H. Han, W.T. Hwang, E.H. Kim, K.S. Suh, Y.G. Choi

SESSION NUMBER:	2.3.4
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 1:30PM - 3:00PM (Juilliard)
TITLE:	Software Safety and Reliability 1
CHAIR:	M. Stutzke, SAIC, Czech Republic
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Lupton	An Integrated Model for the Assessment of Safety Software Development Bob Lupton
Kececi	Software Development Life Cycle Model To Ensure Software Quality Nihal Kececi, Mohammad Modarres
Stutzke	A Stochastic Model of Human Error During Software Development M. Stutzke, M. Agarwal, C. Smidts
Yau	Safety Analysis and Testing of Critical Space Systems Software Michael Yau, Martha Wetherholt, Sergio Guarro

SESSION NUMBER:	2.3.5
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 1:30PM - 3:00PM (Uris)
TITLE:	Human Factors and Human Reliability 3
CHAIR:	D. Schurman, INEEL, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Kim	Use of Fuzzy for Assessing Human Factors during Low Power and Shutdown Operations Moosung Jae, Changhyun Chung, Yoonik Kim
Sepanloo	Analysis of the Impact of Integration of Error Tolerance into the Design of Interface Systems on Human Reliability Kamran Sepanloo, Najmedin Meshkati, Parviz Parvin, Faramarz Moatar
Petkov	Application of PN-Based Method for Identification and Classification of Human Actions in NPP TLRS G. Petkov, K. Furuta
Simon	Using Quantitative Workplace Analysis to Evaluate Railway Control Centers K.F. Walecki, J. M. Simon

SESSION NUMBER:	2.3.6
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 1:30PM - 3:00PM (Shubert)
TITLE:	Systems Modeling 4
CHAIR:	T. Matsuoka, Ministry of Transport, Japan
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Rouvroye	Optimizing and Modeling Off Line Proof Tests for Safety Systems Using the Enhanced Markov Analysis Technique Jan L. Rouvroye, Aarnout C. Brombacher
Kohda	Automatic Derivation of Failure Effect Propogation Pattern Using System Bond Graph Takehisa Kohda, Koichi Inoue
Hong	Joint Reliability Importance of Two Gate Events in a Fault Tree J.S. Hong, H. Y. Koo, C. H. Lie, T. W. Kim
Wilcox	Risk-Informed Regulation of Marine Systems Using FMEA Robb Wilcox

SESSION NUMBER:	2.3.7
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 1:30PM - 3:00PM (Regency)
TITLE:	Accident Sequence Precursor Methods and Applications
CHAIR:	N. Watanabe, Japan Atomic Energy Research Inst., Japan J.W. Minarick, SAIC, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Sattison	Automated Power Recovery Analysis for Nuclear Power Plant Accident Sequence Precursor Evaluations Martin B. Sattison, John A. Schroeder, James K. Knudsen, Scott T. Beck, Kenneth D. Russell
Rasmuson	Treatment of Common-Cause Failures in Event Assessment Dale M. Rasmuson
Schmidt	The Feasibility of Applying Accident Sequence Precursor Analysis to Gaseous Diffusion Plants E. Robert Schmidt, Robert W. Youngblood
O'Reilly	Current Status of the SAPHIRE Models for ASP Evaluations Patrick D. O'Reilly, Steven M. Long, Edward G. Rodrick, Martin B. Sattison

SESSION NUMBER:	2.3.8
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 1:30PM - 3:00PM (Majestic)
TITLE:	Advances in PSA Algorithms
CHAIR:	J. Fragola, SAIC, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Ferson	Probability Bound Analysis Scott Ferson, Sunil Donald
Collet	An Efficient Tool for Taking Repairs into Account in Boolean Models Jérôme Collet, Franck Bruyère
Wei	A Comparison between Probabilistic Models for Quantification of Priority-AND Gates Long Wei, Yoshinobu Sato
Jung	FORTE: A Fast New Algorithm for Risk Monitors and PSA Woo Sik Jung, Dong-Kyu Kim

SESSION NUMBER:	2.4.1
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 3:30PM - 5:00PM (Alvin)
TITLE:	Statistical Methods
CHAIR:	J. A. Cooper, SNL, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Campean	Survival Probability Predictions from Incomplete Field Data F. Campean, D. Osypiw, I. Popescu
Ferson	Detecting Rare Event Clustering in Very Sparse Data Sets Kwisung Hwang, Scott Ferson
Lambert	Extreme-Value Distributions in Probabilistic Risk Assessment James H. Lambert, Yacov Y. Haimes
Kelly	Bayesian Hypothesis Testing and the Maintenance Rule Dana L. Kelly

SESSION NUMBER:	2.4.2
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 3:30PM - 5:00PM (Broadway)
TITLE:	Integrated Risk and Reliability Assessment for NPP
CHAIR:	B. Putney, SAIC, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Coppé	Availability and Maintenance Specifications for the Important Components of NPP P. Coppé
Fleming	Scenario Based Approach for Plant Reliability, Availability and Capacity Factor Assessment Karl N. Fleming, Shawn Rodgers
Pruitt	Extension of the South Texas Project PRA to Secondary Plant Equipment John M. Pruitt
Kang	Maintenance Management Using Dynamic Risk Importance for Nuclear Power Plants Ki Sig Kang

SESSION NUMBER:	2.4.3
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 3:30PM - 5:00PM (Carnegie)
TITLE:	Insights from Nuclear Plant PSAs 2
CHAIR:	P. de Gelder, AIB-Vincotte Nuclear, Belgium
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Samanta	LOCA with Consequential or Delayed LOOP Accidents: Unique Issues, Plant Vulnerability, and CDF Contributions G. Martinez-Guridi, P. Samanta, L. Chu, J. Yang
Armand	PSA 2 on French 900 MWe PWR System Behaviour Yves Armand, Christine Darrouy, Jean-Marie Mattéi, Michele Durin, Jean-Michel Evrard, Carole Leroy, François Rollinger
Baron	Risk Reduction by the Use of Small Power Innovative Nuclear Power Plants J. Baron
Matsuoka	Evaluation of the Core Damage Frequency of the Marine Reactor X Takeshi Matsuoka, Akio Yamaji, Nobuo Mitomo, Yoshihumi Hukuhara, Toshihisa Ishida

SESSION NUMBER:	2.4.4
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 3:30PM - 5:00PM (Juilliard)
TITLE:	Software Safety and Reliability 2
CHAIR:	C. Smidts, U. of Maryland, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Golay	Baysian Estimation of the Number of Errors in a Computer Program and Its Relation to Software Reliability M. W. Golay, Y. Sui
Milici	Software Safety Analysis of the Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) Control Software A. Milici, S. Guarro, M. Yau
Droguett	Identification and Quantification of Software Dependencies in Reliability Models Enrique López Droguett, Ali Mosleh, Carol Smidts
Jalashgar	Representing the Behaviors of Real-Time Systems: A Goal-Oriented Approach Atoosa Jalashgar, Morten Lind

SESSION NUMBER:	2.4.5
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 3:30PM - 5:00PM (Uris)
TITLE:	CHATROOM - Dialoging on the Application of Human Reliability to Space, Maritime, Aviation, and Occupational Safety
CHAIR:	H.S. Blackman, INEEL, USA
	Discussion Coordinators:
	Joseph R. Fragola (SAIC)
	Bruce P. Hallbert (INEEL)
	Donald L. Schurman (INEEL)
	David I. Gertman (INEEL)
	Lee T. Ostrom (INEEL)

SESSION NUMBER:	2.4.7
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 3:30PM - 5:00PM (Regency)
TITLE:	Analysis of Reactor Operating Experience
CHAIR:	P. Baranowsky, US NRC, USA
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Baranowsky	Indications of US Nuclear Industry Trends from the Risk-Based Analysis of Reactor Operating Experience Patrick W. Baranowsky
Rasmuson	An Overview of the USNRC's System Reliability Studies Dale M. Rasmuson, Thomas R. Wolf, Steven E. Mays, John J. Poloski, Cindy D. Gentillon, William E. Galyean, Cory L. Atwood
O'Reilly	Accident Sequence Precursor Program Results and Insights Patrick D. O'Reilly, Dale M. Rasmuson
Mays	Summary of Initiating Event Updates Don Marksberry, Dale Rasmuson, James Houghton, Steven Mays, Cory Atwood, John Poloski, Frances Marshall, William E. Galyean

SESSION NUMBER:	2.4.8
TIME / ROOM:	Tuesday (9/15) 3:30PM - 5:00PM (Majestic)
TITLE:	Risk Modeling
CHAIR:	M. van der Borst, Borssele NPP, The Netherlands
PRESENTER	Title/Authors
Matsuoka	Development of Simulation and Visualization System for Understanding the Physical Phenomena of Accident Sequences in PSA Takeshi Matsuoka
Varde	LOOPEX - A PSA Based Expert System for Loss of Off-Site Power Management in a Research Reactor P.V. Varde, Narinder Singh, S. Sankar, A.K. Verma, C. Satishwar
Coulomb	Modelling and Insertion of I & C in EPR-PSA Jean-Pierre Coulomb, Anton Fiegel, Christian Maupuy
Maharik	Danger Zone Probabilistic Analysis for High Performance Weapon Testing A. Gal, S. Arueti, M. Maharik

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Preliminary program last updated: 8/21/98 3:16:57 PM