Using PRA Insights to Inform Public-Facing Nuclear Safety Communication: Implications for Singapore's SMR Deployment Considerations
Authors
PrimaryHeshuo June Lin— Carnegie Mellon University · junelin060@gmail.com
Co-authorTatsuya Sakurahara— University of Pittsburgh · tsakurahara@pitt.edu
Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) serves as a cornerstone of nuclear reactor safety analysis, providing systematic insights into the risk triplet: scenarios, likelihoods, and consequences. As the global nuclear landscape evolves with new reactor technologies such as Small Modular Reactors (SMRs) and the entry of newcomer states pursuing nuclear energy programs, the role of PRA could expand beyond plant operations, maintenance support, and regulatory decision-making. Specifically, risk insights from PRA could facilitate risk communication with public audiences. The connection between PRA outputs and public risk communication remains underexplored, with limited work on the translation of those outputs into public-facing communication.
This paper presents the initial efforts to address this research gap. The paper first reviews representative public-facing NRC programs to establish a baseline understanding of current practice. The paper then proposes criteria for selecting PRA outputs suitable for translation into public-facing communication. Selection is guided by two dimensions: the public concerns addressed by PRA outputs and the types of scientific uncertainty those outputs entail. The practical implications of the proposed framework are illustrated through the Singapore case study, a context in which dense urban geography, constraints on offsite emergency response, and an early-stage regulatory infrastructure make the translation challenges distinct from those in countries with established nuclear programs. Building on this analysis, this paper proposes a nuclear safety guidebook as a possible implementation pathway for newcomer states.
✅Status: The abstract has been accepted!
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